Language:English
Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barracas Central (Local)
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -0.468%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%27.20%27.11%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6631.75%29.42%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%40.75%40.88%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.282.3847.62%44.13%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.07%32.05%32.02%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.0437.04%34.54%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 27.19%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 40.78%; Draw: 32.02%. For Barracas Central (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.66, with an expected value of -0.468%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -0.468%E -0.128%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -2.92%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.61%EV -2.65%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.17%EV -7.45%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.06%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 21:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-21 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-21 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -13.52%E -4.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.65%EV -11.29%E -4.08%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 21:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-21 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 1.7% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-21 21:54 |