Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia

Inizio: 2026-09-21 22:00 UTC

Finale: Barracas Central 0–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Barracas Central (Casa)

Previsione 27.19%3.68quota equa
EV -0.468%
Vantaggio -0.128%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.88%27.20%27.11%28.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.403.403.6631.75%29.42%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.78%2.45quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.10%40.75%40.88%41.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.282.3847.62%44.13%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.02%3.12quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -0.871%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.07%32.05%32.02%33.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.902.903.0437.04%34.54%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Barracas Central (Casa): 27.19%; Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta): 40.78%; Pareggio: 32.02%. Per Barracas Central (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.68. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.66, con un valore atteso del -0.468%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -0.468%E -0.128%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 21:44
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 21:54
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:24
BetAnything🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -2.92%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 18:30
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 21:44
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 21:44
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.61%EV -2.65%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 21:54
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 21:49
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 21:49
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.17%EV -7.45%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 21:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 21:44
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 21:49
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.06%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 21:39
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 21:55
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 21:49
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 21:54
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 21:09
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 20:05
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -13.52%E -4.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.65%EV -11.29%E -4.08%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 21:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-21 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 21:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:50
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%1.7%2026-09-21 21:54
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-09-21 21:54