Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-21 22:00 UTC

Score final : Barracas Central 0–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barracas Central (Local)

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -0.468%
Avantage -0.128%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.88%27.20%27.11%28.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6631.75%29.42%29.41%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.78%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.10%40.75%40.88%41.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.282.3847.62%44.13%43.86%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.02%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.871%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.07%32.05%32.02%33.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.0437.04%34.54%34.48%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barracas Central (Local) : 27.19% ; Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur) : 40.78% ; Match nul : 32.02%. Pour Barracas Central (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.66, pour une espérance de -0.468% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -0.468%E -0.128%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.37%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 21:44
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 21:54
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -2.64%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.42%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 17:24
BetAnything🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -2.92%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.56%EV -2.94%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 18:30
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 21:44
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.46%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -5.39%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 21:44
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.61%EV -2.65%E -0.871%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 21:54
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 21:49
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 21:49
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.17%EV -7.45%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -4.98%E -2.14%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 21:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 21:44
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 21:49
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.06%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 21:39
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 21:55
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 21:49
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 21:54
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 21:09
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 20:05
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-21 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.93%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-21 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -13.52%E -4.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.78%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.65%EV -11.29%E -4.08%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 21:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-21 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-09-21 21:50
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%1.7%2026-09-21 21:54
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-09-21 21:54