Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 36.19%; Banfield (Visit): 30.62%; Draw: 33.18%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.55%EV -9.88%E -3.97%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +1.67%E +0.503%K +0.720%G +0.012% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.71%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.34%EV -5.10%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -5.53%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.30%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.14%EV -9.05%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.97%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -12.72%E -4.46%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.48%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57% | 2.7% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |