L’École des cotes

Barracas Central v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Score final : Barracas Central 1–2 Banfield

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barracas Central (Local)

Prévision 36.19%2.76cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.30%36.20%36.22%38.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.26%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.503%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%30.69%30.58%31.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.013.3235.71%32.95%33.22%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.19%33.11%33.20%34.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.802.9540.00%36.00%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.55%EV -9.88%E -3.97%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +1.67%E +0.503%K +0.720%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 16:54
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:55
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:35
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:20
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 35.71%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.34%EV -5.10%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -5.53%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:30
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:30
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:45
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:55
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.30%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.14%EV -9.05%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 16:35
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 16:35
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.97%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -12.72%E -4.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.48%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-02 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%1.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%1.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.7%2026-05-02 16:55