StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central v Banfield

Matchstart: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Barracas Central 1–2 Banfield

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barracas Central (Hemma)

Prognos 36.19%2.76rättvist odds
EV -2.28%
Fördel -0.843%
Kelly -1.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.30%36.20%36.22%38.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.26%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Banfield (Borta)

Prognos 30.62%3.27rättvist odds
EV +1.67%
Fördel +0.503%
Kelly +0.720%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.91%30.69%30.58%31.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.043.013.3235.71%32.95%33.22%30.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.18%3.01rättvist odds
EV -2.11%
Fördel -0.715%
Kelly -1.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.19%33.11%33.20%34.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.782.802.9540.00%36.00%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barracas Central (Hemma): 36.19%; Banfield (Borta): 30.62%; Oavgjort: 33.18%. För Banfield (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.27. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.32, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.55%EV -9.88%E -3.97%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +1.67%E +0.503%K +0.720%G +0.012%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -2.11%E -0.715%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 16:54
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -0.474%E -0.146%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:35
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.24%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.71%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.34%EV -5.10%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.28%E -0.843%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.60%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -5.53%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -4.09%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.71%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:45
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:20
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.30%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.14%EV -9.05%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.33%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.66%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 16:35
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.97%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -12.72%E -4.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.48%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.14%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-02 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%1.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%1.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%1.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.57%2.7%2026-05-02 16:55