Language:English
Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barracas Central (Local)
Prediction 23.11%4.33fair odd
EV +7.44%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.152%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.79%23.13%23.09%25.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.014.004.6527.78%24.93%25.00%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 44.57%2.24fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.50%44.66%44.54%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.102.2053.48%48.59%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.58%32.21%32.37%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.893.0637.04%34.66%34.60%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 23.11%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 44.57%; Draw: 32.32%. For Barracas Central (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV +7.44%E +1.60%K +2.04%G +0.152% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -1.10%E -0.360%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.47%EV +3.51%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.035% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.98%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV -1.57%E -0.368%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.97%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -3.36%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -13.08%E -6.71%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -6.42%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -10.47%E -3.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -16.65%E -8.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.39%EV -13.97%E -7.24%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-07 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 21:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.36%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.82%E -4.67%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |