Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors

Início: 2026-09-07 22:00 UTC

Final: Barracas Central 0–0 Argentinos Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barracas Central (Local)

Previsão 23.11%4.33odd justa
EV +7.44%
Vantagem +1.60%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.152%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.79%23.13%23.09%25.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.014.004.6527.78%24.93%25.00%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 44.57%2.24odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.880%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.50%44.66%44.54%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.062.102.2053.48%48.59%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.32%3.09odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.360%
Kelly -0.535%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.58%32.21%32.37%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.893.0637.04%34.66%34.60%32.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barracas Central (Local): 23.11%; Argentinos Juniors (Visitante): 44.57%; Empate: 32.32%. Para Barracas Central (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.33. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV +7.44%E +1.60%K +2.04%G +0.152%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -1.10%E -0.360%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 23:45
1xBet🎯4.48I 22.32%NM 21.47%EV +3.51%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.035%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.98%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 21:55
Pinnacle🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV -1.57%E -0.368%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.97%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -3.36%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 21:45
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 21:29
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 21:30
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 21:55
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 21:55
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 21:40
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -13.08%E -6.71%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -6.42%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 21:55
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 21:55
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 21:40
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 21:29
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 21:28
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 21:29
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 21:29
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -10.47%E -3.78%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -16.65%E -8.90%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-07 21:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.39%EV -13.97%E -7.24%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-07 21:34
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 21:54
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 21:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.36%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-07 21:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 21:29
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.82%E -4.67%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%0.6%2026-09-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-09-07 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-09-07 21:40
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-09-07 21:55
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-09-07 21:30