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Barracas Central v Argentinos Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barracas Central (Local)
Predicción 23.11%4.33momio equitativo
EV +7.44%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.79%23.13%23.09%25.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.004.6527.78%24.93%25.00%21.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 44.57%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.50%44.66%44.54%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.062.102.2053.48%48.59%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.32%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.58%32.21%32.37%33.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.893.0637.04%34.66%34.60%32.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Barracas Central (Local): 23.11%; Argentinos Juniors (Visitante): 44.57%; Empate: 32.32%. Para Barracas Central (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.33. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.44%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.79%EV +7.44%E +1.60%K +2.04%G +0.152% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.59%EV -1.10%E -0.360%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.47%EV +3.51%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.035% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.98%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.70%EV -1.57%E -0.368%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.97%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -3.36%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -1.80%E -0.423%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.43%E -0.467%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -1.94%E -0.880%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -5.95%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -13.08%E -6.71%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -6.42%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%EV -15.75%E -8.34%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.31%EV -10.47%E -3.78%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -16.65%E -8.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.50%E -2.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.39%EV -13.97%E -7.24%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-07 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 21:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.36%EV -11.74%E -5.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.74%E -4.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.35%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.51%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.82%E -4.67%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.62%E -4.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.15% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 21:30 |