Language:English
Banfield v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Banfield (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.43%44.02%43.87%48.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.072.102.2152.91%48.22%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.107%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%24.29%24.27%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.863.904.3530.30%25.91%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.80%3.15fair odd
EV +0.156%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.68%31.85%32.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.922.933.1539.22%34.29%34.13%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Banfield (Local): 43.84%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 24.36%; Draw: 31.80%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%EV -14.07%E -7.18%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -14.51%E -7.44%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -15.39%E -7.97%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.77%E +1.11%K +1.44%G +0.069% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.11%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.76%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -6.62%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -7.47%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -16.70%E -8.79%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.92%E -7.42%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.60%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.81% | 2.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |