La escuela de los momios

Banfield v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Inicio: 2026-03-03 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Banfield (Local)

Predicción 43.84%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.43%44.02%43.87%48.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.072.102.2152.91%48.22%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante)

Predicción 24.36%4.10momio equitativo
EV +5.98%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.107%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.58%24.29%24.27%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.863.904.3530.30%25.91%25.64%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.80%3.15momio equitativo
EV +0.156%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%31.68%31.85%32.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.922.933.1539.22%34.29%34.13%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%EV -14.07%E -7.18%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 00:10
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -14.51%E -7.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -15.39%E -7.97%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.77%E +1.11%K +1.44%G +0.069%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 00:10
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.11%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 00:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 00:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.76%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:15
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -6.62%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -7.47%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 00:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:14
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:15
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 00:15
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 00:15
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:07
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 00:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 00:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 00:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 00:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-03 00:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 23:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-03 00:08
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-03 00:10
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -16.70%E -8.79%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.92%E -7.42%K -12.21%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.60%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-03 00:15
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.81%2.3%2026-03-03 00:15