L’École des cotes

Banfield v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Banfield (Local)

Prévision 43.84%2.28cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.43%44.02%43.87%48.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.072.102.2152.91%48.22%47.62%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV +5.98%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.107%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%24.29%24.27%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.863.904.3530.30%25.91%25.64%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.80%3.15cote équitable
EV +0.156%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%31.68%31.85%32.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.922.933.1539.22%34.29%34.13%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%EV -14.07%E -7.18%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 00:10
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -14.51%E -7.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +5.98%E +1.38%K +1.79%G +0.107%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -15.39%E -7.97%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.77%E +1.11%K +1.44%G +0.069%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -1.43%E -0.462%K -0.683%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -17.14%E -9.07%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +2.33%E +0.555%K +0.728%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 00:10
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.11%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 00:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 00:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.54%E -0.636%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.97%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.76%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -6.84%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:15
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -6.62%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -7.47%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 00:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:14
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.16%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:15
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 00:15
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 00:15
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:07
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.79%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 00:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 00:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.43%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 00:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 00:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-03 00:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.61%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 23:59
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -12.29%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.56%E -4.57%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.20%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -13.51%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-03 00:08
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-03 00:10
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -16.70%E -8.79%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.92%E -7.42%K -12.21%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -17.16%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.38%E -3.29%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -19.60%E -5.94%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -14.15%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-03 00:15
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.81%2.3%2026-03-03 00:15