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Atlético Tucuman v Racing Club

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prediction 31.26%3.20fair odd
EV +6.28%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%31.09%31.21%32.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.012.973.4037.74%33.23%33.67%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Racing Club (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV +0.762%
Edge +0.274%
Kelly +0.428%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.81%36.30%36.38%38.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.7842.55%39.29%39.22%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.67%32.61%32.41%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.822.852.9740.00%35.46%35.09%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 31.26%; Racing Club (Visit): 36.25%; Draw: 32.50%. For Atlético Tucuman (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV +4.72%E +1.41%K +2.01%G +0.095%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -0.597%E -0.188%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.10%E -0.999%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:05
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.91%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV +0.762%E +0.274%K +0.428%G +0.003%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:09
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -7.16%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -8.69%E -3.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:09
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -12.26%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -11.92%E -4.91%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.46%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -17.16%E -6.48%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.76%E -7.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.0%2026-03-04 00:10