Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético Tucuman v Racing Club

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 31.26%3.20cote équitable
EV +6.28%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.62%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.72%31.09%31.21%32.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.653.012.973.4037.74%33.23%33.67%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Racing Club (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.25%2.76cote équitable
EV +0.762%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.428%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.81%36.30%36.38%38.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.552.7842.55%39.29%39.22%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.50%3.08cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.67%32.61%32.41%34.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.822.852.9740.00%35.46%35.09%33.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético Tucuman (Local) : 31.26% ; Racing Club (Visiteur) : 36.25% ; Match nul : 32.50%. Pour Atlético Tucuman (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.20. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +6.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV +4.72%E +1.41%K +2.01%G +0.095%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -0.597%E -0.188%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.10%E -0.999%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:05
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.91%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV +0.762%E +0.274%K +0.428%G +0.003%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:09
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -7.16%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -8.69%E -3.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:09
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -12.26%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -11.92%E -4.91%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.46%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -17.16%E -6.48%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.76%E -7.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.0%2026-03-04 00:10