La escuela de los momios

Atlético Tucuman v Racing Club

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV +6.28%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.62%
Crecimiento +0.164%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.72%31.09%31.21%32.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.012.973.4037.74%33.23%33.67%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Racing Club (Visitante)

Predicción 36.25%2.76momio equitativo
EV +0.762%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.428%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.81%36.30%36.38%38.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.552.7842.55%39.29%39.22%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.50%3.08momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.67%32.61%32.41%34.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.822.852.9740.00%35.46%35.09%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV +6.28%E +1.85%K +2.62%G +0.164%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.01%EV -10.11%E -4.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV +4.72%E +1.41%K +2.01%G +0.095%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -11.20%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV +1.59%E +0.490%K +0.707%G +0.011%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -0.597%E -0.188%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.93%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.10%E -0.999%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 22:05
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:05
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.91%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV +0.762%E +0.274%K +0.428%G +0.003%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 00:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:09
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 21:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 22:30
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -7.16%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -8.69%E -3.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:09
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.14%E -0.792%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:05
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.79%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:04
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:10
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:05
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.89%E -5.24%K -8.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -5.76%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -12.26%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.75%EV -11.92%E -4.91%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.99%E -3.61%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.57%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.46%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.39%E -3.75%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.01%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 00:10
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -17.16%E -6.48%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -14.82%E -6.31%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.76%E -7.50%K -12.51%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.0%2026-03-04 00:10