The School of Odds

Atlético Tucuman v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-07-26 18:00 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Odds
2.3043.48%Min
2.5040.01%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.6737.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.49%2.817Min
36.72%2.723Max
36.01%2.777Mean
35.97%2.780Median
35.97%2.780IQM
35.97%2.780Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.67 under the IQM model: 35.97%

EV -3.96%Edge -1.48%Kelly -2.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.7037.04%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8535.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.99%3.031Min
33.99%2.942Max
33.16%3.016Mean
33.16%3.016Median
33.16%3.016IQM
33.16%3.015Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.85 under the IQM model: 33.16%

EV -5.50%Edge -1.93%Kelly -2.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.8035.71%Min
2.9334.08%Mean
2.9933.44%Median
3.0532.79%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.89%3.346Min
31.20%3.205Max
30.84%3.243Mean
30.87%3.239Median
30.87%3.239IQM
30.86%3.240Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 30.87%

EV -5.84%Edge -1.91%Kelly -2.85%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtlético Tucuman (Local) ▼Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.67I 37.45% NM 35.52%EV -3.96% E -1.48% K -2.37% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.28%EV -5.50% E -1.93% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.04I 32.89% NM 31.20%EV -6.15% E -2.02% K -3.01% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 19:48
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17% NM 35.56%EV -5.76% E -2.20% K -3.55% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.28%EV -7.16% E -2.56% K -3.98% G +0.000%2.99I 33.44% NM 31.16%EV -7.69% E -2.57% K -3.87% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 19:45
SportsBet2.60I 38.46% NM 35.96%EV -6.48% E -2.49% K -4.05% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -7.16% E -2.56% K -3.98% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.65%EV -5.84% E -1.91% K -2.85% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 16:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46% NM 35.78%EV -6.48% E -2.49% K -4.05% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.22%EV -7.16% E -2.56% K -3.98% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.01%EV -7.38% E -2.46% K -3.69% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 17:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.22%EV -8.28% E -3.25% K -5.34% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.99%EV -7.16% E -2.56% K -3.98% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.79%EV -7.38% E -2.46% K -3.69% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-02 22:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV -10.08% E -4.03% K -6.72% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.15%EV -8.82% E -3.21% K -5.04% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.39%EV -7.38% E -2.46% K -3.69% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 11:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00% NM 35.87%EV -10.08% E -4.03% K -6.72% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.21%EV -10.47% E -3.88% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.92%EV -10.47% E -3.61% K -5.51% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 17:04
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 35.49%EV -11.87% E -4.85% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.45%EV -13.79% E -5.30% K -8.62% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.06%EV -13.56% E -4.84% K -7.53% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-02 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67% NM 36.12%EV -13.67% E -5.70% K -9.77% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.99%EV -15.45% E -6.06% K -9.97% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 29.89%EV -10.47% E -3.61% K -5.51% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-02 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10% NM 36.53%EV -16.55% E -7.13% K -12.54% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 32.98%EV -14.78% E -5.75% K -9.42% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 30.49%EV -14.18% E -5.10% K -7.96% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-02 22:03
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 36.72%EV -17.27% E -7.51% K -13.28% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.12%EV -15.45% E -6.06% K -9.97% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 30.16%EV -13.56% E -4.84% K -7.53% G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-02 20:59
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 36.48%EV -17.27% E -7.51% K -13.28% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 33.56%EV -17.11% E -6.84% K -11.40% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 29.96%EV -13.56% E -4.84% K -7.53% G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-02 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth