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Atlético Tucuman v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Prediction 32.61%3.07fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.261%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.75%32.80%32.57%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.823.0539.22%35.62%35.46%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 36.20%2.76fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.487%
Kelly +0.758%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%36.10%36.16%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.602.8042.55%38.70%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%31.10%31.27%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.772.983.003.1036.10%33.52%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 32.61%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 36.20%; Draw: 31.19%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -11.95%E -4.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -11.95%E -4.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -2.26%E -0.836%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -2.26%E -0.836%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -0.535%E -0.175%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 17:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.07%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -16.84%E -6.60%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -4.07%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.04%E -2.85%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -5.15%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.04%E -2.85%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -5.15%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.73%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.51%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -8.31%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 17:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.08%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.01%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -6.40%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.08%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 17:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.87%EV -13.61%E -4.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.58%E -5.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.93%E -6.35%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
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