La escuela de los momios

Atlético Tucuman v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-07-26 18:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Predicción 35.77%2.80momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%35.85%35.76%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.582.7241.67%38.81%38.76%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)

Predicción 33.65%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.07%33.68%33.61%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.742.752.8939.22%36.48%36.36%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -0.976%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.39%30.46%30.63%31.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.70%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:49
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:50
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:50
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.55%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.57%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.88%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 02:40
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.77%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 18:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:39
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.65%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 18:35
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:00
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:49
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:10
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 21:29
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.47%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.47%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:49
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 18:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 07:24
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 16:49
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-23 16:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 16:53
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 18:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.07%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.48%EV -10.40%E -3.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 18:04
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 18:05
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.99%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.28%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.73%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 04:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.82%EV -14.19%E -5.56%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-24 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03%0.0%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.77%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%2.0%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.77%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%2.0%2026-07-26 04:10