Idioma:Español
Atlético Tucuman v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Predicción 32.61%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.535%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.261%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.75%32.80%32.57%36.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.812.823.0539.22%35.62%35.46%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 36.20%2.76momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.487%
Kelly +0.758%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.56%36.10%36.16%37.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.602.8042.55%38.70%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.88%31.10%31.27%31.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.772.983.003.1036.10%33.52%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 32.61%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante): 36.20%; Empate: 31.19%. Para Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.76. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -11.95%E -4.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -11.95%E -4.43%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +1.36%E +0.487%K +0.758%G +0.010% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -2.26%E -0.836%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -15.21%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -2.26%E -0.836%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -0.535%E -0.175%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 17:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.07%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -16.84%E -6.60%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -4.07%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.04%E -2.85%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -5.15%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.04%E -2.85%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -5.15%E -1.97%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.73%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.51%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -8.31%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 17:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.08%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.43%E -1.87%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.06%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.01%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -6.40%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.08%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.69%E -3.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 17:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-26 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.87%EV -13.61%E -4.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-26 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.58%E -5.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.32%E -3.75%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.93%E -6.35%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 17:55 |