L’École des cotes

Atlético Tucuman v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-07-26 18:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 35.77%2.80cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%35.85%35.76%36.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.582.7241.67%38.81%38.76%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.65%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.07%33.68%33.61%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.742.752.8939.22%36.48%36.36%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.58%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.976%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.39%30.46%30.63%31.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.70%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:49
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:50
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -2.71%E -0.995%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.75%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:50
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.55%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.57%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.88%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 02:40
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.58%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.77%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 16:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 18:00
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:39
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.65%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 18:35
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.15%E -0.671%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:00
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:49
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:10
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 21:29
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.47%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.47%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 03:49
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 18:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 07:24
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 16:49
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-23 16:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 16:53
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 18:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -10.58%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.07%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.48%EV -10.40%E -3.55%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 18:04
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 18:05
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.99%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.28%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.73%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 04:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -10.83%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 18:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.82%EV -14.19%E -5.56%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-24 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03%0.0%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.77%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%2.0%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.77%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%2.0%2026-07-26 04:10