The School of Odds
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Atlético Tucuman v Barracas Central

2026-10-03 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prediction 49.06%2.04fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.84%49.06%49.05%49.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.861.9458.48%54.24%53.76%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barracas Central (Visit)

Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.30%19.92%19.93%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.424.334.8025.64%22.62%23.09%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.27%31.03%31.02%31.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.983.0536.36%34.25%33.56%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 49.06%; Barracas Central (Visit): 19.92%; Draw: 31.03%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.80, with an expected value of -4.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.94%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.82%EV -4.61%E -0.962%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.23%EV -5.68%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.38%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -7.54%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:06
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.30%E -3.30%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.26%EV -6.79%E -3.57%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -13.77%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.81%EV -8.75%E -4.71%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.41%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.84%EV -9.24%E -5.00%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -22.33%E -5.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -13.13%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-13 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.32%EV -12.68%E -7.12%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -14.37%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.10%EV -13.66%E -7.76%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -16.36%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.32%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 49.37%EV -15.62%E -9.08%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.75%EV -14.37%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.88%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-13 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 49.52%EV -16.11%E -9.42%K -22.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.69%EV -14.37%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -14.68%E -5.34%K -8.39%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.