Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 5.56
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 48.72%; Barracas Central (Visit): 19.02%; Draw: 32.26%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.77%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.27%EV +5.77%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.073% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.94%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.72%EV +3.48%E +0.641%K +0.785%G +0.027% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -3.87%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.822%E +0.155%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.130%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.57%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -3.93%E -0.779%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.62%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 19:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.27%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -1.61%E -0.529%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.74%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.57%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.92%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.19%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.19%EV -16.69%E -9.76%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.22%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -16.30%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.68%EV -11.33%E -6.23%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -20.10%E -4.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.84% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |