L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Atlético Tucuman v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC

Score final : Atlético Tucuman 2–3 Barracas Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 48.72%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.64%48.71%48.98%51.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.881.912.0058.48%53.17%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.02%5.26cote équitable
EV +5.77%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%19.14%18.81%21.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.894.885.5623.81%20.44%20.51%17.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.26%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.751%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.78%32.16%32.21%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.47%34.48%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético Tucuman (Local) : 48.72% ; Barracas Central (Visiteur) : 19.02% ; Match nul : 32.26%. Pour Barracas Central (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.26. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.56, soit une espérance positive de +5.77%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.27%EV +5.77%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.073%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.94%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.72%EV +3.48%E +0.641%K +0.785%G +0.027%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -3.87%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.822%E +0.155%K +0.191%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.130%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.57%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012%6.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012%6.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -3.93%E -0.779%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.62%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:43
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.27%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -1.61%E -0.529%K -0.786%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.74%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.57%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.92%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.19%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.19%EV -16.69%E -9.76%K -23.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.22%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 19:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -16.30%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-03 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.68%EV -11.33%E -6.23%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -20.10%E -4.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-10-03 19:55
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.1%2026-10-03 19:35