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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Atlético Tucuman v Barracas Central

Início: 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC

Final: Atlético Tucuman 2–3 Barracas Central

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Previsão 48.72%2.05odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.64%48.71%48.98%51.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.881.912.0058.48%53.17%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barracas Central (Visitante)

Previsão 19.02%5.26odd justa
EV +5.77%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescimento +0.073%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.27%19.14%18.81%21.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.894.885.5623.81%20.44%20.51%17.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.26%3.10odd justa
EV +1.61%
Vantagem +0.512%
Kelly +0.751%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.78%32.16%32.21%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.47%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 48.72%; Barracas Central (Visitante): 19.02%; Empate: 32.26%. Para Barracas Central (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.26. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.27%EV +5.77%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.073%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.94%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.72%EV +3.48%E +0.641%K +0.785%G +0.027%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -3.87%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.98%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.15%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +2.72%E +0.504%K +0.619%G +0.017%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.822%E +0.155%K +0.191%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.130%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.57%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012%6.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -11.82%E -6.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -2.98%E -0.585%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV +1.61%E +0.512%K +0.751%G +0.012%6.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -3.93%E -0.779%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.62%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:43
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.27%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -1.61%E -0.529%K -0.786%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -4.89%E -0.977%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.79%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -7.74%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.47%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.48%EV -15.23%E -8.75%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.57%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.92%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -5.97%E -3.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.38%E -5.04%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.64%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -3.05%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -13.28%E -7.46%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.19%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.19%EV -16.69%E -9.76%K -23.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.62%EV -10.59%E -2.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.22%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -10.84%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -12.49%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 19:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -16.30%E -3.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -6.46%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.06%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -12.26%E -4.51%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-03 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.68%EV -11.33%E -6.23%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -18.20%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -20.10%E -4.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 19:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.14%0.6%2026-10-03 19:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.84%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-10-03 19:55
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.1%2026-10-03 19:35