Language:English
Atlético Tucuman v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético Tucuman (Local)
Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.58%44.67%44.46%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.062.102.1954.05%48.62%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV +4.38%
Edge +0.996%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%23.64%23.69%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.904.4029.41%25.54%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.14%31.69%31.85%32.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.932.923.2539.22%34.11%34.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Tucuman (Local): 44.46%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 23.72%; Draw: 31.82%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.33%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +3.41%E +1.05%K +1.52%G +0.052% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -15.09%E -7.90%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -16.42%E -8.73%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV +3.19%E +0.734%K +0.953%G +0.030% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV +0.232%E +0.074%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.74%E -0.667%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.71%EV -3.21%E -0.787%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.13%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.94%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.19%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.13%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -10.33%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 00:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -14.20%E -7.36%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.60%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -15.78%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -15.53%E -8.17%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.86%E -7.40%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.34%E -5.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 00:36 |