La scuola delle quote

Atlético Tucuman v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Inizio: 2026-03-12 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Casa)

Previsione 44.46%2.25quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.58%44.67%44.46%49.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.062.102.1954.05%48.62%47.62%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.72%4.22quota equa
EV +4.38%
Vantaggio +0.996%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.056%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.30%23.64%23.69%25.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.913.904.4029.41%25.54%25.64%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.82%3.14quota equa
EV +3.41%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.14%31.69%31.85%32.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.932.923.2539.22%34.11%34.25%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.33%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +3.41%E +1.05%K +1.52%G +0.052%5.6%2026-03-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -15.09%E -7.90%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.3%2026-03-12 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -16.42%E -8.73%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV +3.19%E +0.734%K +0.953%G +0.030%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV +0.232%E +0.074%K +0.108%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 00:54
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:29
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.74%E -0.667%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:29
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.71%EV -3.21%E -0.787%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.13%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 00:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 00:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 00:36
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:36
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 00:24
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:40
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:29
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:36
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.94%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 00:54
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.19%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:36
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 00:36
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.13%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -10.33%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 00:38
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 00:36
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 00:36
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 00:36
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -14.20%E -7.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-12 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.60%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-12 00:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -15.78%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 00:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -15.53%E -8.17%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.86%E -7.40%K -12.17%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-12 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.34%E -5.69%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-12 00:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-03-12 00:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-03-12 00:54
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-03-12 00:36