L’École des cotes

Atlético Tucuman v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlético Tucuman (Local)

Prévision 44.46%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.58%44.67%44.46%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.062.102.1954.05%48.62%47.62%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV +4.38%
Avantage +0.996%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.30%23.64%23.69%25.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.904.4029.41%25.54%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV +3.41%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.14%31.69%31.85%32.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.932.923.2539.22%34.11%34.25%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.33%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +3.41%E +1.05%K +1.52%G +0.052%5.6%2026-03-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -14.64%E -7.63%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -15.09%E -7.90%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +4.38%E +0.996%K +1.29%G +0.056%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV +1.82%E +0.570%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.3%2026-03-12 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -16.42%E -8.73%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV +3.19%E +0.734%K +0.953%G +0.030%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV +0.232%E +0.074%K +0.108%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 00:54
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -17.75%E -9.60%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV +0.822%E +0.193%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -1.36%E -0.438%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:29
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.74%E -0.667%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:29
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.71%EV -3.21%E -0.787%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.13%EV -4.22%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 00:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 00:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 00:36
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:36
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 00:24
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:40
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:54
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:29
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:36
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.94%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 00:54
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.19%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:36
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 00:36
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.13%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -10.33%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 00:38
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 00:36
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 00:36
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 00:36
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -14.20%E -7.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.66%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-12 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -12.23%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.97%E -6.05%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.60%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-12 00:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -15.78%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 00:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -15.53%E -8.17%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.73%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.86%E -7.40%K -12.17%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-12 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.34%E -5.69%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -16.31%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-12 00:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:36
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-03-12 00:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-03-12 00:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-03-12 00:54
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-03-12 00:36