The School of Odds

Atlético Huracán v Atlético Tucuman

2026-08-04 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.23%39.87%39.83%40.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4247.62%43.84%43.48%41.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%27.07%26.80%28.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5533.33%30.19%30.30%28.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.06%33.38%33.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.792.9039.22%36.00%35.78%34.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.45%EV -5.95%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.47%EV -7.61%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.50%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 23:10
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 22:54
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 22:53
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 23:18
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.15%EV -7.89%E -3.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-28 00:19
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 00:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 23:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-27 22:53
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-27 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -13.48%E -6.21%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -12.91%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 23:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -14.27%E -6.64%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.25%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-27 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.27%E -6.64%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.49%EV -16.27%E -7.75%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.16%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.35%EV -15.56%E -6.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-27 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 39.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.50%16.6%2026-07-27 23:40