Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán v Atlético Tucuman

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC

Final: Atlético Huracán 0–0 Atlético Tucuman

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prediction 46.12%2.17fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.23%46.03%46.04%47.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.012.1253.19%49.73%49.75%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +0.946%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 4.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%21.82%21.85%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.254.204.8125.64%23.52%23.81%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.14%3.11fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.14%32.12%32.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.0336.36%34.56%34.48%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 46.12%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 21.74%; Draw: 32.14%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.93%EV +4.55%E +0.946%K +1.19%G +0.054%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.61%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.96%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -2.61%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:09
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.24%EV -8.22%E -4.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 21:29
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.55%EV -4.53%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:35
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.41%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.62%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:34
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -13.29%E -7.07%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.80%E -2.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 23:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 23:31
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.01%EV -10.52%E -5.42%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.97%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 00:03
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 21:29
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.54%EV -9.14%E -4.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.28%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.14%E -3.58%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -15.23%E -3.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-08-04 00:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.0%2026-08-04 00:00

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