默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Huracán v Atlético Tucuman

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC

最终结果: Atlético Huracán 0–0 Atlético Tucuman

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlético Huracán (主队)

预测 46.12%2.17公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -1.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
44.23%46.03%46.04%47.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.012.012.1253.19%49.73%49.75%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Tucuman (客队)

预测 21.74%4.60公平赔率
EV +4.55%
优势 +0.946%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 4.81

博彩公司预测分布
19.93%21.82%21.85%23.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.254.204.8125.64%23.52%23.81%20.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.14%3.11公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.03

博彩公司预测分布
31.50%32.14%32.12%32.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.903.0336.36%34.56%34.48%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlético Huracán (主队):46.12%;Atlético Tucuman (客队):21.74%;平局:32.14%。 对于“Atlético Tucuman (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.60。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.81,对应+4.55%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.93%EV +4.55%E +0.946%K +1.19%G +0.054%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.61%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.96%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -2.61%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:09
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.24%EV -8.22%E -4.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 21:29
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.55%EV -4.53%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:35
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 23:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.41%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.62%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:34
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 23:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -13.29%E -7.07%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.80%E -2.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 23:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 23:31
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.01%EV -10.52%E -5.42%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.97%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 00:03
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 21:29
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.54%EV -9.14%E -4.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.28%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.14%E -3.58%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -15.23%E -3.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 00:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-08-04 00:00
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.0%2026-08-04 00:00