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Atlético Huracán v Atlético Tucuman
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlético Huracán (Local)
Predicción 46.12%2.17momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.23%46.03%46.04%47.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.012.1253.19%49.73%49.75%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Tucuman (Visitante)
Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV +4.55%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.93%21.82%21.85%23.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.254.204.8125.64%23.52%23.81%20.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.14%3.11momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.50%32.14%32.12%32.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.892.903.0336.36%34.56%34.48%33.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlético Huracán (Local): 46.12%; Atlético Tucuman (Visitante): 21.74%; Empate: 32.14%. Para Atlético Tucuman (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.60. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.81, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.93%EV +4.55%E +0.946%K +1.19%G +0.054% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.61%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +1.07%E +0.230%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.96%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -2.61%E -0.862%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.10%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.24%EV -8.22%E -4.13%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.19%E -0.486%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.91%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -4.22%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.28%E -0.736%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-04 00:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.55%EV -4.53%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.41%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.54%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.62%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.18%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -13.29%E -7.07%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -11.61%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.68%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.48%EV -9.80%E -2.36%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 23:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.01%EV -10.52%E -5.42%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.97%E -3.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.43%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 21:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.54%EV -9.14%E -4.64%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -13.06%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.28%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.14%E -3.58%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.00%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -15.23%E -3.91%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:00 |