Language:English
Atlético Huracán v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético Huracán (Local)
Prediction 53.16%1.88fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.96%53.13%53.22%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.51%57.31%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 18.29%5.47fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 5.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.36%18.35%18.26%20.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.125.005.8322.22%19.54%20.00%17.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.77%28.52%28.52%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.05%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético Huracán (Local): 53.16%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 18.29%; Draw: 28.54%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.87%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +6.66%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.092% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -10.69%E -6.36%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV +2.45%E +0.437%K +0.533%G +0.013% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.50%EV +0.803%E +0.146%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.62%EV -3.81%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -5.24%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.36%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -11.27%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-04 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -12.28%E -7.44%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -12.81%E -7.81%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.08%EV -10.66%E -3.41%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-04 17:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.38%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%EV -16.76%E -3.68%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -12.95%E -4.24%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.38% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.86% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 17:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |