Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-10-04 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

49%

21%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd

EV -5.07%

Edge -2.61%

Kelly -5.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.92%48.94%49.14%49.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.851.881.9458.14%54.13%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)

Prediction 20.96%4.77fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -0.776%

Kelly -0.992%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.18%20.96%20.75%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.204.154.6026.67%23.79%24.10%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd

EV -5.18%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -2.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.65%30.10%30.12%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.993.003.1535.71%33.43%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlético Huracán (Local): 48.94%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 20.96%; Draw: 30.10%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -3.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -10.91%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-13 15:24
1xBet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.16%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%	4.58I 21.83%NM 20.72%EV -3.99%E -0.871%K -1.11%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -5.18%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 19:45
FanDuel🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -11.96%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-09-13 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.67%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.68%E -2.16%K -3.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 19:41
Paddy Power🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -16.15%E -4.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-13 15:25
Codere (IT)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.38%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.57%E -0.776%K -0.992%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -8.19%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 15:11
Sky Bet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -21.39%E -5.70%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-09-13 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -14.05%E -3.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.74%G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-09-13 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 48.85%EV -13.87%E -7.88%K -18.26%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -16.15%E -4.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-09-13 15:11
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 49.02%EV -15.34%E -8.87%K -21.02%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.69%EV -14.05%E -3.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.29%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-09-13 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 49.29%EV -15.83%E -9.20%K -21.99%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 20.43%EV -13.00%E -3.13%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.28%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-09-13 15:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.