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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Atlético Huracán v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC

Score final : Atlético Huracán 1–0 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético Huracán (Local)

Prévision 53.16%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.96%53.13%53.22%54.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.51%57.31%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.29%5.47cote équitable
EV +6.66%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.092%

avec la cote maximale 5.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.36%18.35%18.26%20.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.125.005.8322.22%19.54%20.00%17.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.54%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.870%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.77%28.52%28.52%29.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.05%30.77%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético Huracán (Local) : 53.16% ; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur) : 18.29% ; Match nul : 28.54%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.47. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.83, soit une espérance positive de +6.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.87%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +6.66%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.092%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:39
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -10.69%E -6.36%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV +2.45%E +0.437%K +0.533%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.50%EV +0.803%E +0.146%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.62%EV -3.81%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -5.24%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-04 17:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.36%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -11.27%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-04 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -12.28%E -7.44%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-04 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -12.81%E -7.81%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.08%EV -10.66%E -3.41%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 17:17
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-04 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.38%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%EV -16.76%E -3.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -12.95%E -4.24%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-04 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.38%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.77%0.9%2026-10-04 17:21
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-10-04 17:40