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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Atlético Huracán v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Inizio: 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC

Finale: Atlético Huracán 1–0 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlético Huracán (Casa)

Previsione 53.16%1.88quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.96%53.13%53.22%54.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.51%57.31%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.29%5.47quota equa
EV +6.66%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescita +0.092%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.36%18.35%18.26%20.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.125.005.8322.22%19.54%20.00%17.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.54%3.50quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -0.870%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.77%28.52%28.52%29.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.05%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlético Huracán (Casa): 53.16%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta): 18.29%; Pareggio: 28.54%. Per Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.47. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.83, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.66%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.87%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +6.66%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.092%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:39
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +5.19%E +0.903%K +1.09%G +0.057%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -10.69%E -6.36%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV +2.45%E +0.437%K +0.533%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.50%EV +0.803%E +0.146%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.62%EV -3.81%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.74%EV -0.294%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -5.24%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.26%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-04 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%EV -3.77%E -2.09%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-04 17:35
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.36%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -11.27%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-04 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -12.28%E -7.44%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-04 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -12.81%E -7.81%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.19%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.08%EV -10.66%E -3.41%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 17:17
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-04 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.97%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.38%EV -11.75%E -7.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%EV -16.76%E -3.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -12.95%E -4.24%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-04 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-10-04 17:40
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.38%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.77%0.9%2026-10-04 17:21
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-10-04 17:40