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Argentinos Juniors v Racing Club
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.883%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%47.14%47.20%48.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.982.1654.05%50.71%50.51%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Racing Club (Visit)
Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV +11.76%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.340%
assuming max odds 5.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%22.15%22.06%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.594.134.105.0627.86%24.19%24.39%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.73%3.25fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.62%30.71%30.73%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.003.003.1735.09%33.31%33.33%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 47.18%; Racing Club (Visit): 22.09%; Draw: 30.73%. For Racing Club (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +11.76%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.340% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.64%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.34%EV +0.051%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.84%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -3.92%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.57%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -0.923%E -0.439%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -11.30%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 23:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -9.42%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -10.36%E -5.45%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV +1.91%E +0.883%K +1.64%G +0.031% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.81%EV -20.71%E -5.77%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -9.03%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
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