Idioma:Español
Argentinos Juniors v Racing Club
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Predicción 47.18%2.12momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.883%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.89%47.14%47.20%48.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.982.1654.05%50.71%50.51%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Racing Club (Visitante)
Predicción 22.09%4.53momio equitativo
EV +11.76%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +2.90%
Crecimiento +0.340%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.95%22.15%22.06%25.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.594.134.105.0627.86%24.19%24.39%19.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.73%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%30.71%30.73%32.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.003.003.1735.09%33.31%33.33%31.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 47.18%; Racing Club (Visitante): 22.09%; Empate: 30.73%. Para Racing Club (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.53. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.06, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +11.76%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.340% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.64%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.34%EV +0.051%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.84%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -3.92%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.57%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -0.923%E -0.439%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -11.30%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 23:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -9.42%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -10.36%E -5.45%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV +1.91%E +0.883%K +1.64%G +0.031% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.81%EV -20.71%E -5.77%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -9.03%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |