Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Argentinos Juniors v Racing Club

Inizio: 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC

Finale: Argentinos Juniors 2–1 Racing Club

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Argentinos Juniors (Casa)

Previsione 47.18%2.12quota equa
EV +1.91%
Vantaggio +0.883%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.89%47.14%47.20%48.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.971.982.1654.05%50.71%50.51%46.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Racing Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.09%4.53quota equa
EV +11.76%
Vantaggio +2.32%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescita +0.340%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.95%22.15%22.06%25.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.594.134.105.0627.86%24.19%24.39%19.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.73%3.25quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.812%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.62%30.71%30.73%32.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.003.003.1735.09%33.31%33.33%31.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Argentinos Juniors (Casa): 47.18%; Racing Club (Trasferta): 22.09%; Pareggio: 30.73%. Per Racing Club (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.53. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.06, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.76%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +11.76%E +2.32%K +2.90%G +0.340%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.64%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV +2.70%E +0.581%K +0.740%G +0.020%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.46%EV -2.57%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.34%EV +0.051%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.84%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.82%E -0.641%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -6.58%E -3.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -3.92%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.57%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 23:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 23:04
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -0.923%E -0.439%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:55
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 23:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -11.30%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.87%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 23:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -12.72%E -6.87%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 22:54
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -9.42%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -10.36%E -5.45%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.26%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 23:00
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.80%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.88%EV -9.89%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -12.41%E -4.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV +1.91%E +0.883%K +1.64%G +0.031%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.81%EV -20.71%E -5.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -9.03%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 12:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-09 23:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-08-09 23:10