Language:English
Argentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Argentinos Juniors (Local)
Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.05%47.72%52.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.911.912.0058.82%52.46%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 21.10%4.74fair odd
EV +12.66%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +2.92%
Growth +0.369%
assuming max odds 5.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%21.05%21.14%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.405.3425.00%22.51%22.73%18.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV +0.950%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%30.90%31.14%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.07%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Juniors (Local): 47.84%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 21.10%; Draw: 31.06%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV +12.66%E +2.37%K +2.92%G +0.369% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.78%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -13.89%E -7.72%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.38%E +0.690%K +0.867%G +0.029% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV +0.950%E +0.292%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -13.89%E -7.72%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.38%E +0.690%K +0.867%G +0.029% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV +0.950%E +0.292%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -14.84%E -8.34%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV +0.215%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -0.603%E -0.188%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.66%EV -1.26%E -0.270%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -3.09%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.21%EV -9.58%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.89%E -0.407%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -16.76%E -9.63%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -16.76%E -9.63%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -18.67%E -10.98%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -8.22%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.22%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.28%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.33%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.01%EV -11.50%E -6.21%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -12.45%E -6.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -12.41%E -4.40%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.15%E -4.24%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.06%E -5.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.50%E -6.21%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.64%EV -14.55%E -3.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.97%EV -12.10%E -4.27%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.03%EV -13.41%E -7.41%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -14.55%E -3.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -15.61%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 22:05 |