L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Argentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BA

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC

Score final : Argentinos Juniors 2–1 CA Tigre BA

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Argentinos Juniors (Local)

Prévision 47.84%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.67%48.05%47.72%52.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.911.912.0058.82%52.46%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.10%4.74cote équitable
EV +12.66%
Avantage +2.37%
Kelly +2.92%
Croissance +0.369%

avec la cote maximale 5.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%21.05%21.14%22.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.405.3425.00%22.51%22.73%18.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.06%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.950%
Avantage +0.292%
Kelly +0.422%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.80%30.90%31.14%31.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.07%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Argentinos Juniors (Local) : 47.84% ; CA Tigre BA (Visiteur) : 21.10% ; Match nul : 31.06%. Pour CA Tigre BA (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.74. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.34, soit une espérance positive de +12.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV +12.66%E +2.37%K +2.92%G +0.369%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.78%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -13.89%E -7.72%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.38%E +0.690%K +0.867%G +0.029%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV +0.950%E +0.292%K +0.422%G +0.004%6.7%2026-10-04 21:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -13.89%E -7.72%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +3.38%E +0.690%K +0.867%G +0.029%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV +0.950%E +0.292%K +0.422%G +0.004%6.7%2026-10-04 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV +1.27%E +0.265%K +0.334%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -2.16%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -14.84%E -8.34%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV +0.215%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -0.603%E -0.188%K -0.274%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.66%EV -1.26%E -0.270%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -3.09%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.21%EV -9.58%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -1.89%E -0.407%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.79%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -16.76%E -9.63%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -16.76%E -9.63%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -2.95%E -0.641%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 21:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.68%EV -18.67%E -10.98%K -26.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -5.06%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 21:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.51%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 21:54
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.17%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -8.22%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.22%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 22:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.28%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.33%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 22:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.01%EV -11.50%E -6.21%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 21:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -12.45%E -6.80%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -11.39%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -12.41%E -4.40%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-04 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.15%E -4.24%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.06%E -5.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -13.50%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -5.26%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.50%E -6.21%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.64%EV -14.55%E -3.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.97%EV -12.10%E -4.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.03%EV -13.41%E -7.41%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -14.55%E -3.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-04 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -15.61%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%1.0%2026-10-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-10-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-10-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-10-04 22:00
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.7%2026-10-04 22:05