Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delaware Blue Hens v Villanova Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delaware Blue Hens (Local)

Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%23.43%22.93%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.974.004.1026.32%25.16%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villanova Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 76.57%1.31fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -13.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.58%76.57%77.07%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.231.221.2682.64%81.47%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Delaware Blue Hens (Local): 23.43%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 76.57%. For Villanova Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.26, with an expected value of -3.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.95%E -0.962%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:09
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.95%E -0.962%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.52%E -2.79%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:58
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.35%E -6.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.