The School of Odds
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HV71 v Luleå HF

2026-11-12 18:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HV71 (Local)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.33%48.68%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.982.0052.36%50.98%50.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%51.67%51.32%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.811.801.8555.56%55.15%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HV71 (Local): 48.33%; Luleå HF (Visit): 51.67%. For HV71 (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -3.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 10:40
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.41%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-11-03 11:23
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.93%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%6.6%2026-11-03 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.93%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%6.6%2026-11-03 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%11.1%2026-11-03 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.31%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.65%19.1%2026-11-03 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.74%20.5%2026-11-03 11:20