Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Färjestad BK v HV71

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Färjestad BK (Local)

Prediction 60.66%1.65fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.71%60.60%60.66%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.521.511.6370.42%65.98%66.23%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 19.82%5.05fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.263%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.75%20.03%19.82%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.785.005.1025.64%20.93%20.02%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.52%5.12fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.75%19.37%19.52%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.784.905.0025.97%20.92%20.41%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Färjestad BK (Local): 60.66%; HV71 (Visit): 19.82%; Draw: 19.52%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.08%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.58%E -4.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.79%E -5.12%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 22:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 22:50
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.32%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -1.10%E -0.221%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -10.82%E -7.36%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.95%EV -1.12%E -0.685%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-01 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 58.45%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.16%EV -21.71%E -5.50%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -19.99%E -4.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 57.71%EV -13.86%E -9.76%K -32.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.01%EV -22.70%E -5.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.28%EV -24.86%E -6.46%K -8.72%G +0.000%22.0%2026-10-01 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%7.1%2026-10-01 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%8.2%2026-10-02 01:15
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-01 23:35
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 49.39%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.61%62.0%2026-10-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-02 00:20