默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Färjestad BK v HV71

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC — SHL

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Färjestad BK (主队)

预测 60.66%1.65公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.685%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
57.71%60.60%60.66%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.521.511.6370.42%65.98%66.23%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

HV71 (客队)

预测 19.82%5.05公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.212%
Kelly +0.263%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.75%20.03%19.82%21.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.785.005.1025.64%20.93%20.02%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.52%5.12公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.484%
Kelly -0.605%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.75%19.37%19.52%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.784.905.0025.97%20.92%20.41%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Färjestad BK (主队):60.66%;HV71 (客队):19.82%;平局:19.52%。 对于“HV71 (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.05。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.10,由此产生+1.08%的正期望值。

有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.58%E -4.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.79%E -5.12%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 22:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 22:50
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.32%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -1.10%E -0.221%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -10.82%E -7.36%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-01 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.95%EV -1.12%E -0.685%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-01 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 58.45%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.16%EV -21.71%E -5.50%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -19.99%E -4.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 57.71%EV -13.86%E -9.76%K -32.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.01%EV -22.70%E -5.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.28%EV -24.86%E -6.46%K -8.72%G +0.000%22.0%2026-10-01 22:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%5.5%2026-10-01 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%6.6%2026-10-01 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%7.1%2026-10-01 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%8.2%2026-10-02 01:15
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-01 23:35
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 49.39%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.61%62.0%2026-10-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-02 00:20