預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Färjestad BK v HV71

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC — SHL

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (4 家納入分析 )

61%

20%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Färjestad BK (主隊)

預測 60.66%1.65公平賠率

EV -1.12%

優勢 -0.685%

Kelly -1.77%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.63

博彩公司預測分布

57.71%60.60%60.66%62.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.421.521.511.6370.42%65.98%66.23%61.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HV71 (客隊)

預測 19.82%5.05公平賠率

EV +1.08%

優勢 +0.212%

Kelly +0.263%

成長率 +0.003%

假設最高賠率為 5.10

博彩公司預測分布

18.75%20.03%19.82%21.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.904.785.005.1025.64%20.93%20.02%19.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.52%5.12公平賠率

EV -2.42%

優勢 -0.484%

Kelly -0.605%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布

18.75%19.37%19.52%21.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.854.784.905.0025.97%20.92%20.41%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Färjestad BK (主隊)：60.66%；HV71 (客隊)：19.82%；和局：19.52%。對於「HV71 (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.05的公平十進位賠率。有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為5.10，因此產生+1.08%的正期望值。

有 10 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	和局	利潤率	更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-01 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +1.08%E +0.212%K +0.263%G +0.003%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-01 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.58%E -4.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.79%E -5.12%K -14.98%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-01 22:20
Casumo🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-01 22:19
Grosvenor🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-01 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -0.902%E -0.180%K -0.226%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-01 22:50
1xBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.32%EV -8.40%E -5.56%K -16.46%G +0.000%	4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -1.10%E -0.221%K -0.276%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-01 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-01 22:19
TABtouch🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.89%EV -10.82%E -7.36%K -23.03%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-01 22:20
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.36%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-01 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-10-01 22:20
Coolbet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.95%EV -1.12%E -0.685%K -1.77%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.01%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-10-01 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 58.45%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.81%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 21.16%EV -21.71%E -5.50%K -7.36%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.39%EV -19.99%E -4.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%	19.6%	2026-10-01 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 57.71%EV -13.86%E -9.76%K -32.99%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 21.01%EV -22.70%E -5.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 21.28%EV -24.86%E -6.46%K -8.72%G +0.000%	22.0%	2026-10-01 22:19

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (10)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%	5.5%	2026-10-01 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%	5.5%	2026-10-01 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%	5.5%	2026-10-01 20:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%	6.6%	2026-10-01 22:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.49%	3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%	7.1%	2026-10-01 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%	8.2%	2026-10-02 01:15
Smarkets◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%	9.1%	2026-10-01 23:35
Kalshi◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 49.39%	1.22I 81.97%NM 50.61%	62.0%	2026-10-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-02 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-02 00:20