La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.690%E +0.251%K +0.394%G +0.003% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.409%E -0.150%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.14%E -0.423%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.87%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 22:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 12:15 |
| GTbets | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| BetUS | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Caesars | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 16:41 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.53%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.90%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:40 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.12%E -0.717%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -12.13%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.89%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Novig | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 0.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Polymarket | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 18:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.82% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98% | 13.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |