L’École des cotes

Winnipeg Jets v Tampa Bay Lightning

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prévision 36.61%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.690%
Avantage +0.251%
Kelly +0.394%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.57%36.56%38.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.622.7541.67%38.14%38.17%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.39%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.58%63.43%63.44%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.501.511.5671.94%66.50%66.23%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.690%E +0.251%K +0.394%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:55
Betsson2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 23:45
NordicBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.409%E -0.150%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-05 21:55
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.14%E -0.423%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:55
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.87%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 22:03
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 16:39
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 16:39
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 16:24
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 12:15
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 16:29
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 16:39
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:01
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 16:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
Bet Right2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:45
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 16:41
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 16:39
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 16:24
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 15:24
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 16:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 16:25
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:44
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.53%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 16:25
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.90%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:40
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:03
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.12%E -0.717%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:34
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -12.13%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.89%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-05 21:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%-0.0%2026-03-05 21:55
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%0.1%2026-03-06 00:00
ProphetX2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-05 18:44
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-03-06 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-05 23:45
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-05 23:45
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.82%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21%3.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05%4.2%2026-03-05 23:45
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-03-05 23:44
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-03-05 23:45
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-03-05 23:45
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-05 21:19
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-05 23:45
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%7.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%8.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Betclic (FR)3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%9.2%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%13.7%2026-03-05 23:45