La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Winnipeg Jets v Tampa Bay Lightning
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Predicción 36.61%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.690%
Ventaja +0.251%
Kelly +0.394%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.57%36.56%38.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.622.7541.67%38.14%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)
Predicción 63.39%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.58%63.43%63.44%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.501.511.5671.94%66.50%66.23%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.690%E +0.251%K +0.394%G +0.003% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV +0.323%E +0.118%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.409%E -0.150%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.14%E -0.423%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.87%E -0.699%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 22:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.61%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 12:15 |
| GTbets | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.97%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| BetUS | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Caesars | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 16:41 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 16:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.53%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.65%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.90%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:40 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.12%E -0.717%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -12.13%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.89%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Novig | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 0.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Polymarket | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 18:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.82% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.21% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98% | 13.7% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |