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Winnipeg Jets v San Jose Sharks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Prediction 59.20%1.69fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.42%59.31%59.19%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.611.621.6567.57%62.04%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Jose Sharks (Visit)
Prediction 40.80%2.45fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.602%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.25%40.69%40.81%41.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.352.352.4346.08%42.60%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 59.20%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 40.80%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.861%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.94%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 23:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 22:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 10:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 23:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.35%E -2.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 20:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.38%E -8.37%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.47%E -5.29%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-16 21:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |