La escuela de los momios

Winnipeg Jets v San Jose Sharks

Inicio: 2026-04-17 00:00 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Jets 1–6 San Jose Sharks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Predicción 59.20%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.42%59.31%59.19%60.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.611.621.6567.57%62.04%61.73%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Jose Sharks (Visitante)

Predicción 40.80%2.45momio equitativo
EV -0.861%
Ventaja -0.354%
Kelly -0.602%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.25%40.69%40.81%41.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.352.352.4346.08%42.60%42.55%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

20 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 23:44
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 23:44
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.94%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 23:34
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 21:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:09
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 23:33
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 23:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 22:27
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 21:04
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 10:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:05
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:24
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 22:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 20:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:05
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 23:49
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 23:48
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:05
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:05
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.35%E -2.31%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 23:45
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 20:24
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 23:49
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 22:08
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 18:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 18:01
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.38%E -8.37%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.47%E -5.29%K -9.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-16 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-16 23:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-16 23:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-16 23:50
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-16 23:54
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-16 22:04
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-16 23:50
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-16 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-16 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-16 23:45

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (20)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-16 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-16 11:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-16 11:50
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%3.4%2026-04-16 20:04
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-04-16 23:54
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-04-16 23:34
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.8%2026-04-16 23:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-16 11:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-16 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-16 11:39
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%5.1%2026-04-16 11:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%6.7%2026-04-16 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-16 21:49
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%7.7%2026-04-16 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%8.2%2026-04-16 23:34
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%8.2%2026-04-16 23:49
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-16 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-04-16 23:34
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-04-16 23:34
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%12.2%2026-04-16 11:39