L’École des cotesFrançais
Winnipeg Jets v San Jose Sharks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Prévision 59.20%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.42%59.31%59.19%60.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.611.621.6567.57%62.04%61.73%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Jose Sharks (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.861%
Avantage -0.354%
Kelly -0.602%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.25%40.69%40.81%41.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.352.352.4346.08%42.60%42.55%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.91%E -1.77%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.94%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 23:33 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 22:27 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 21:04 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 22:54 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 20:14 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.09%E -2.53%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 23:48 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.90%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.35%E -2.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 20:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:08 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.09%E -0.869%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.861%E -0.354%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.38%E -8.37%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.47%E -5.29%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-16 21:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| BetOpenly | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 20:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 11:39 |