La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v Calgary Flames

Inizio: 2026-03-09 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 62.70%1.60quota equa
EV -0.314%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.531%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.93%62.68%62.77%64.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.531.531.5971.94%65.51%65.36%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Calgary Flames (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.30%2.68quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.432%
Kelly -0.693%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.99%37.32%37.23%39.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.422.552.562.6541.32%39.14%39.06%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:00
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 22:59
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 23:00
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 23:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 22:58
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 16:34
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 13:59
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 18:45
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 13:55
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 20:15
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 20:19
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:49
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:49
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:50
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:30
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:30
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 23:00
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:28
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 21:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:24
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 19:19
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 22:58
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.85%E -9.25%K -32.96%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.72%E -4.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-09 17:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-03-09 18:14
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-09 22:59
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-09 17:10
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-09 22:59
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-08 21:30
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-03-09 22:54
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89%1.9%2026-03-09 23:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-09 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-09 21:59
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-09 21:59
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.1%2026-03-09 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-03-09 20:25
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-09 22:13
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.31%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.58%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.11%4.8%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-09 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-09 22:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-09 21:59
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-09 21:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%6.3%2026-03-09 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-09 14:05
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37%7.6%2026-03-09 22:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-03-09 22:58
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-09 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.1%2026-03-09 20:24
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.52%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%13.7%2026-03-09 20:25