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Washington Capitals v Calgary Flames
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Capitals (Local)
Predicción 62.70%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.314%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.531%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.93%62.68%62.77%64.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.531.531.5971.94%65.51%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Calgary Flames (Visitante)
Predicción 37.30%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%37.32%37.23%39.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.422.552.562.6541.32%39.14%39.06%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Capitals (Local): 62.70%; Calgary Flames (Visitante): 37.30%. Para Washington Capitals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.60. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.59, con un valor esperado de -0.314%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:28 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.85%E -9.25%K -32.96%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.72%E -4.02%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-09 17:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 0.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 22:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.31% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.58% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.11% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52% | 11.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.52% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98% | 13.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |