L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Washington Capitals v Calgary Flames
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Capitals (Local)
Prévision 62.70%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.314%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.531%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.93%62.68%62.77%64.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.531.531.5971.94%65.51%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Calgary Flames (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.30%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.432%
Kelly -0.693%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.99%37.32%37.23%39.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.552.562.6541.32%39.14%39.06%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -0.314%E -0.197%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -7.49%E -3.02%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.57%E -0.998%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.19%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.45%E -2.24%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.99%E -2.38%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.08%E -2.66%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.70%E -3.09%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.76%E -1.46%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:28 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.58%E -4.42%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.14%E -0.432%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.85%E -9.25%K -32.96%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.72%E -4.02%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-09 17:03 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34% | 0.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 22:54 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.11% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.89% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 22:13 |
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.31% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.58% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.11% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52% | 11.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.52% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98% | 13.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |