默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Winnipeg Jets

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 02:10 UTC

最终结果: Vegas Golden Knights 6–2 Winnipeg Jets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 61.53%1.63公平赔率
EV -3.39%
优势 -2.16%
Kelly -5.95%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.76%61.64%61.58%63.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.551.561.5769.93%64.51%64.10%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Winnipeg Jets (客队)

预测 38.47%2.60公平赔率
EV +1.93%
优势 +0.730%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.30%38.36%38.42%39.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.492.472.6543.48%40.22%40.49%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):61.53%;Winnipeg Jets (客队):38.47%。 对于“Winnipeg Jets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.60。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.65,对应+1.93%的正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.08%E -4.69%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.93%E +0.730%K +1.17%G +0.023%4.0%2026-04-14 02:04
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 02:00
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 21:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.759%E -0.294%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 06:30
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 02:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 02:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.91%E -0.750%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.30%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.68%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 02:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 02:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.24%E -3.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.22%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 02:00
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.38%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 10:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 02:04
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.53%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 14:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.68%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 14:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -12.01%E -8.40%K -27.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-14 01:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-04-14 01:59
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-14 02:05
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-04-14 02:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-04-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-04-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-04-14 02:05
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-14 02:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-13 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-14 01:59
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-04-14 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-04-14 01:59
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%5.5%2026-04-13 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-14 02:00
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%6.8%2026-04-13 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-04-13 23:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%8.0%2026-04-14 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-14 01:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%8.1%2026-04-14 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%8.3%2026-04-14 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-14 01:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%8.9%2026-04-14 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%12.3%2026-04-13 23:35